Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1958 |
QUE
2 - 1
ARB
66%
17%
17%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1958 |
ARB
3 - 1
ALL
64%
19%
17%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
ARB
4 - 1
ALB
66%
17%
17%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
ARB
3 - 1
STJ
37%
23%
40%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
HAM
3 - 0
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1958 |
ALL
1 - 3
DUM
55%
20%
25%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1958 |
DUM
3 - 3
QUE
65%
17%
18%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
DUM
1 - 4
CLY
43%
22%
36%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
DUN
0 - 3
DUM
72%
15%
13%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1957 |
DUM
10 - 3
STR
66%
17%
17%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |