Arbroath vs Dumbarton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
STJ
5 - 1
ARB
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
DUN
2 - 1
ARB
45%
22%
33%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
ARB
3 - 3
CWB
60%
19%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
DUM
8 - 0
ARB
50%
22%
29%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
ARB
1 - 3
DUN
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1947 |
DUM
5 - 5
STE
75%
14%
11%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1946 |
CWB
2 - 3
DUM
61%
19%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1946 |
DUN
2 - 1
DUM
55%
20%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1946 |
DUM
8 - 0
ARB
50%
22%
29%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 1946 |
DUM
0 - 4
CWB
62%
18%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -2 |