Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARB
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
8%
15%
77%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
2 - 2
TUR
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
ARB
1 - 0
MHE
8%
15%
76%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ELG
4 - 1
ARB
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CWB
0 - 3
DUN
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
DUN
6 - 1
CWB
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CWB
1 - 2
ICT
10%
17%
72%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
STE
1 - 0
CWB
39%
24%
37%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2016 |
CWB
3 - 1
MHE
11%
17%
72%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |