Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
ARB
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 4
ARB
35%
25%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 0
STI
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARB
6 - 1
ALB
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 2
ARB
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2012 |
CWB
3 - 0
ALB
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CWB
4 - 1
STI
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
CWB
25%
25%
50%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CWB
2 - 0
AIR
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CWB
2 - 3
HIB
46%
24%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |