Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 3
ARB
48%
24%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 1
AIR
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DUM
3 - 4
ARB
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
4 - 2
STI
61%
20%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARB
3 - 0
EAS
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CWB
2 - 1
ALB
62%
21%
16%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUM
0 - 4
CWB
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CWB
3 - 2
EAS
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STE
3 - 1
CWB
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AIR
1 - 5
CWB
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |