Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 2
STR
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
DUM
1 - 1
ARB
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
ARB
5 - 0
ELG
70%
17%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ARB
2 - 2
STE
65%
21%
15%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CWB
1 - 0
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
RAI
2 - 0
CWB
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
CWB
0 - 2
PET
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
CWB
3 - 1
BER
57%
23%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
QUE
0 - 1
CWB
51%
25%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |