Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
BER
3 - 0
ARB
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
ARB
1 - 1
STE
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
ARB
40%
25%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
THE
3 - 1
ARB
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
ARB
1 - 0
EAS
65%
20%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CWB
2 - 0
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CWB
0 - 1
BER
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
EAS
1 - 0
CWB
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ELG
0 - 3
CWB
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
CWB
0 - 2
QUE
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |