Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
FOR
1 - 1
ARB
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ARB
1 - 3
ALB
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
MON
0 - 0
ARB
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
ARB
0 - 0
THE
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
ALL
1 - 1
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1996 |
CWB
0 - 1
ROS
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
ALL
1 - 1
CWB
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
CWB
1 - 1
QUE
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
ALB
2 - 0
CWB
72%
18%
11%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CWB
1 - 0
MON
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |