Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALB
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
LIV
3 - 0
ARB
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
ARB
1 - 1
ROS
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
QUE
0 - 0
ARB
51%
25%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ARB
0 - 0
CWB
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1996 |
ALL
2 - 1
CWB
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CWB
2 - 3
QUE
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
THE
1 - 1
CWB
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
ICT
2 - 0
CWB
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
ARB
0 - 0
CWB
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |