Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
THE
0 - 1
ARB
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
18%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 1
ALL
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
ICT
5 - 1
ARB
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
LIV
0 - 1
ARB
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
CWB
2 - 0
ROS
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1995 |
LIV
0 - 1
CWB
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 1995 |
CWB
4 - 1
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
BRE
2 - 0
CWB
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1995 |
CWB
3 - 2
QUE
59%
23%
18%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |