Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
STI
1 - 0
ARB
62%
19%
19%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
ARB
1 - 1
AYR
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
CWB
1 - 1
ARB
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
ARB
2 - 1
STI
54%
21%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
EAS
3 - 0
ARB
77%
13%
10%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1968 |
CWB
0 - 2
AYR
47%
22%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1968 |
STI
2 - 1
CWB
72%
16%
13%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1968 |
CWB
1 - 1
ARB
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1968 |
AYR
3 - 1
CWB
61%
20%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1967 |
MON
2 - 1
CWB
54%
20%
26%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |