Arbroath vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
30.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1955 |
HAM
7 - 0
ARB
74%
14%
11%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1955 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALL
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1955 |
CWB
5 - 1
ARB
72%
15%
13%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1955 |
ARB
1 - 2
HAM
51%
21%
28%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1955 |
ALL
5 - 3
ARB
59%
20%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1955 |
ALL
5 - 3
CWB
52%
21%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1955 |
CWB
1 - 2
HAM
65%
17%
18%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1955 |
CWB
5 - 1
ARB
72%
15%
13%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1955 |
CWB
5 - 3
ALL
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1955 |
HAM
6 - 1
CWB
55%
20%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |