Arbroath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
10º
8º
55
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
76% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 50% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 50% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 0
HAM
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
ARB
0 - 1
RAI
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 1
ARB
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COV
2 - 0
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
AYR
4 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AYR
2 - 2
COV
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
AYR
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AYR
5 - 0
QUE
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 1
ICT
25%
26%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |