Arbroath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 1
ARB
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
STR
2 - 0
ARB
39%
23%
37%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 1
BRE
50%
24%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 1
ARB
21%
22%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
AYR
1 - 2
STE
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
AYR
2 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
AYR
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
AYR
5 - 2
ALB
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ALL
2 - 2
AYR
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |