Arbroath vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
HOM
2 - 1
ARB
85%
10%
6%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
ARB
3 - 1
QOS
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1935 |
HIB
0 - 2
ARB
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1935 |
CLY
1 - 3
ARB
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 1935 |
ARB
1 - 2
ALB
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1935 |
ABE
3 - 0
AYR
64%
17%
19%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1935 |
AYR
1 - 3
KIL
49%
22%
30%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1935 |
AYR
1 - 0
MHE
28%
20%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1935 |
ALB
5 - 1
AYR
41%
21%
38%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 1935 |
AYR
2 - 2
GLA
34%
22%
44%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |