Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
10º
1º
51
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
3 - 0
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 4
ARB
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 2
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 2
ARB
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 3
STE
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
COV
2 - 0
ALL
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ALL
1 - 2
MON
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
ALL
28%
26%
46%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2024 |
ALL
2 - 2
DUM
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |