Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis

Arbroath Alloa Athletic
54 ELO 59
7.1% Tilt 10.7%
2466º General ELO ranking 2440º
28º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
41.6%
Arbroath
25.3%
Draw
33.1%
Alloa Athletic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
Arbroath
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.1%
Win probability
Alloa Athletic
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arbroath
+12%
-2%
Alloa Athletic

ELO progression

Arbroath
Alloa Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arbroath
Arbroath
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2013
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
43%
24%
33%
54 50 4 0
20 Apr. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
1 - 0
Stranraer
STR
62%
21%
18%
53 48 5 +1
13 Apr. 2013
BRE
Brechin City
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
58%
21%
21%
54 57 3 -1
06 Apr. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
2 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
76%
15%
9%
54 41 13 0
03 Apr. 2013
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 0
Stenhousemuir
STE
48%
24%
28%
54 54 0 0

Matches

Alloa Athletic
Alloa Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Apr. 2013
ALL
Alloa Athletic
4 - 1
Albion Rovers
ALB
77%
16%
8%
59 41 18 0
20 Apr. 2013
EAS
East Fife
2 - 1
Alloa Athletic
ALL
28%
25%
47%
59 46 13 0
13 Apr. 2013
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 0
Forfar Athletic
FOR
63%
21%
17%
59 51 8 0
06 Apr. 2013
AYR
Ayr United
0 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
39%
25%
36%
58 51 7 +1
30 Mar. 2013
STR
Stranraer
1 - 2
Alloa Athletic
ALL
37%
24%
39%
58 48 10 0