Arbroath vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 1
ARB
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 0
STR
62%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARB
58%
21%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALB
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 0
STE
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
4 - 1
ALB
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
EAS
2 - 1
ALL
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AYR
0 - 2
ALL
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
ALL
37%
24%
39%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |