Arbon 05 vs Seefeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
56.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+112%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
14º
14º
49
1º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbon 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
5 - 1
ARB
79%
12%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
6 - 1
DSG
20%
19%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +4 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHU
2 - 1
ARB
64%
18%
17%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 2
WIL
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 3
ARB
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Seefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DSG
3 - 4
SEE
35%
22%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SEE
6 - 1
WIL
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UST
3 - 2
SEE
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SEE
2 - 0
DUB
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 2
SEE
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |