Erbil vs Naft Al Junoob analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erbil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 1
ALN
72%
18%
9%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ALS
2 - 3
ARB
31%
29%
40%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
2 - 1
ALK
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ARB
0 - 4
ALK
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
CHO
1 - 4
ARB
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Naft Al Junoob
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NAF
4 - 1
ALK
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ALM
1 - 0
NAF
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
ZAK
2 - 2
NAF
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
NAF
3 - 1
ALN
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2012 |
NAF
2 - 2
ALS
57%
26%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |