Arbedo vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.4%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
89.5%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
12%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.5%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.6%
0-5
7.4%
1-6
2.5%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
10.3%
0-6
4.3%
1-7
1.3%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
5.7%
0-7
2.1%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.7%
0-8
0.9%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.4%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 1
NEX
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NEX
3 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
WOH
0 - 0
NEX
21%
23%
56%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
NEX
2 - 1
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
THU
5 - 1
NEX
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |