Arbeca vs Sudanell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arbeca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ARB
6 - 1
PAR
58%
19%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
PUI
2 - 4
ARB
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARB
0 - 0
BEN
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AIT
0 - 0
ARB
29%
21%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ARB
3 - 2
SOS
34%
21%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sudanell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SOS
1 - 0
SUD
63%
19%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 2
ALC
47%
22%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 1
SUD
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 2
LGD
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 1
SUD
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | -1 |