Aravaca vs Unión Tres Cantos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
DOS
2 - 1
ARA
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 2
CDR
70%
18%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ADA
0 - 0
ARA
57%
22%
21%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 1
DEH
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RSD
0 - 1
ARA
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Tres Cantos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 5
TRJ
22%
23%
56%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SSR
2 - 2
UNI
46%
24%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
ALC
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
TRS
0 - 0
UNI
52%
24%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
CAN
34%
25%
42%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |