Aravaca vs Unión Adarve analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
INT
2 - 0
ARA
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 2
PNT
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
YEB
1 - 4
ARA
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ARA
2 - 0
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Adarve
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ADA
0 - 0
SSR
32%
27%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TRJ
2 - 2
ADA
27%
26%
46%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
ADA
2 - 0
ARA
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
ADA
52%
27%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADA
0 - 1
SFN
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |