Aravaca vs Sporting Hortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALC
1 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 2
COS
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
3 - 2
GAL
37%
24%
40%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TRS
5 - 2
ARA
23%
25%
53%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
MOR
51%
22%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
SHO
1 - 1
EFC
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CDS
1 - 2
SHO
43%
24%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
SHO
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SHO
3 - 4
SIE
58%
21%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ATM
1 - 4
SHO
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |