Aravaca vs RSD Alcalá B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
CDV
1 - 2
ARA
45%
24%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 1
SIE
41%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
CVI
2 - 2
ARA
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 0
FUN
72%
18%
11%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ARA
1 - 1
BRU
68%
19%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RSD
1 - 2
TRJ
40%
25%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
SSR
1 - 2
RSD
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
RSD
2 - 1
ALC
30%
24%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
TRS
0 - 2
RSD
38%
25%
38%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RSD
2 - 0
CAN
50%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |