Aravaca vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 3
MAJ
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ATM
0 - 0
ARA
60%
21%
18%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 5
ALC
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
COL
2 - 1
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ARA
0 - 2
ADA
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SSR
1 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRJ
44%
26%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALC
21%
26%
53%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SFN
0 - 1
CAR
51%
25%
24%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |