Aravaca vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
FUN
0 - 3
ARA
13%
19%
68%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAN
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
ARA
42%
25%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
STA
74%
16%
11%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PER
0 - 2
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
EFC
4 - 0
SSR
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
SAG
1 - 0
EFC
42%
26%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
EFC
1 - 1
SHO
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
EFC
2 - 1
FUN
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
EFC
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |