Aravaca vs CD Móstoles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
STA
2 - 0
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 3
INT
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
GET
0 - 2
ARA
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 3
SFN
28%
24%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
LEG
62%
20%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
POZ
0 - 0
CDM
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 1
ALC
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 0
SIE
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 1
MEX
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
STA
0 - 4
CDM
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +2 |