Aravaca vs Unión Adarve B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
RES
0 - 2
ARA
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
JSB
1 - 0
ARA
22%
23%
55%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
ARA
1 - 0
CFG
80%
13%
7%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
ARA
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Adarve B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ADU
1 - 2
TRR
43%
24%
33%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ADU
1 - 3
LRZ
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TRJ
1 - 1
ADU
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ADU
2 - 0
POZ
29%
24%
47%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
EFM
0 - 1
ADU
61%
21%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |