Aravaca C vs Fomento Alumni B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.7%
49.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
2%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AYF
3 - 0
AVC
66%
18%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SPO
2 - 5
AVC
44%
21%
35%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
AVC
7 - 4
ESE
37%
22%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
AVC
3 - 4
CVB
16%
20%
64%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ELE
3 - 1
AVC
65%
18%
18%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fomento Alumni B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FOM
5 - 0
SPO
73%
15%
12%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ESE
1 - 1
FOM
21%
18%
61%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FOM
2 - 1
SDS
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 1
FOM
73%
14%
13%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FOM
2 - 1
SEL
64%
18%
18%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |