Aravaca B vs Celtic Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
46.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ROB
2 - 2
ARB
38%
24%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 1
ADU
48%
23%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SMC
1 - 0
ARB
30%
24%
47%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ARB
3 - 2
CER
63%
19%
18%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SSR
1 - 0
ARB
60%
21%
19%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CCA
2 - 6
HMA
52%
22%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPC
3 - 2
CCA
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CCA
2 - 3
RCA
68%
17%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VPB
2 - 3
CCA
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CCA
2 - 1
AVI
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |