Aravaca B vs Celtic Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aravaca B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CPO
1 - 2
ARB
40%
23%
37%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 0
ROB
56%
21%
23%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 1
CAR
45%
23%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CDR
5 - 3
ARB
25%
22%
52%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ARB
0 - 2
STA
38%
23%
39%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CCA
1 - 1
ADU
17%
21%
63%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CCA
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BPI
1 - 0
CCA
63%
20%
18%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CCA
1 - 4
SAG
33%
23%
43%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
RCV
0 - 2
CCA
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |