Ararat II vs Noah II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2025 |
PYU
4 - 0
ARA
59%
21%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 1
ARA
53%
21%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
AND
2 - 0
ARA
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
0 - 2
BKM
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
FBI
2 - 4
ARA
17%
21%
63%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Noah II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2025 |
ONO
1 - 0
NIK
71%
17%
12%
|
52 | 10 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
MIK
1 - 2
ONO
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
ONO
1 - 0
PYU
35%
24%
41%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 3
ONO
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
ONO
2 - 2
AND
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |