Ararat II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
MIK
7 - 0
ARA
69%
18%
13%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 1
DYE
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SHI
1 - 2
ARA
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
BAN
3 - 5
ARA
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2007 |
PYE
2 - 4
ARA
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
MIK
7 - 0
ARA
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
MIK
1 - 0
GAN
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2007 |
BAN
0 - 1
MIK
55%
26%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 2
MIK
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
PYU
1 - 0
MIK
64%
22%
15%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |