Ararat II vs BKMA II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
FBI
2 - 4
ARA
17%
21%
63%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 3
SYU
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
LER
1 - 1
ARA
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2025 |
ARA
1 - 5
BAN
39%
23%
38%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2025 |
SHI
2 - 1
ARA
27%
23%
50%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
BKMA II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2025 |
BKM
5 - 0
NIK
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 10 | 64 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MIK
0 - 4
BKM
17%
23%
60%
|
73 | 38 | 35 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
BKM
0 - 1
ONO
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PYU
0 - 1
BKM
13%
19%
68%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2025 |
BKM
2 - 0
ARA
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |