Ararat vs Maardu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SIK
2 - 0
FCA
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
3 - 2
TMK
63%
17%
19%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
JWO
2 - 2
FCA
10%
14%
77%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
FCA
4 - 0
KJK
67%
16%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 4
FCA
41%
21%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Maardu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
MST
3 - 3
TJK
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
TIN
0 - 1
MST
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
MST
2 - 1
TFS
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +4 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
JKN
1 - 0
MST
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
MST
4 - 0
AJA
63%
17%
20%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +2 |