Ararat vs Maardu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
81%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
FCT
86%
9%
5%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
3 - 2
FCA
68%
16%
16%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 0
AJA
72%
15%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KJA
2 - 6
FCA
8%
12%
80%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 4
JFP
40%
20%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAA
8 - 2
FHT
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VJK
1 - 3
MAA
6%
13%
81%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MAA
1 - 0
TJK
88%
9%
3%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
TKL
1 - 8
MAA
7%
14%
79%
|
63 | 11 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAA
6 - 0
FCH
89%
8%
3%
|
63 | 21 | 42 | 0 |