Ararat vs Maardu FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
FLO
1 - 3
FCA
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
FCA
6 - 0
TJK
56%
21%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FCE
3 - 1
FCA
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
FCA
0 - 3
TIN
19%
21%
60%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 0
JKJ
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Maardu FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAA
0 - 1
EMM
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TIN
9 - 3
MAA
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAA
0 - 4
KAL
8%
14%
78%
|
40 | 76 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SKA
1 - 2
MAA
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
MAA
1 - 2
FLO
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |