Ararat vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCA
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FCA
3 - 1
SKA
32%
23%
46%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +3 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FLO
0 - 2
FCA
19%
20%
61%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
WEL
2 - 1
FCA
28%
23%
48%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FCA
1 - 3
EMM
38%
23%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
JKJ
0 - 1
FLO
74%
16%
11%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 2
TJK
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
JKJ
2 - 3
TDU
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 2
JKJ
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
JKJ
0 - 4
EMM
22%
22%
56%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -2 |