Ararat vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TJK
4 - 1
FCA
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TJK
0 - 0
FCA
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
TKA
1 - 3
FCA
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 3
MAA
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SKA
3 - 0
FCA
71%
17%
13%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |