Ararat vs JK Järve II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.3%
16.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
TJK
0 - 4
FCA
41%
21%
37%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 1
NOO
20%
18%
63%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +4 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
1 - 2
PIR
58%
20%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TIN
3 - 0
FCA
89%
8%
3%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FCA
6 - 1
TMK
60%
18%
22%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
JK Järve II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
KJK
0 - 2
TJK
65%
17%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
TIN
4 - 0
KJK
90%
7%
3%
|
29 | 63 | 34 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
KJK
4 - 0
MST
36%
21%
43%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PTV
2 - 0
KJK
82%
11%
6%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
KJK
2 - 5
NOO
17%
16%
67%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |