Ararat vs JK Järve II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.71
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
8.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.5%
5.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MRU
2 - 0
FCA
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 3
TDU
39%
22%
39%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
FCE
8 - 0
FCA
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
MST
29%
20%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
FCA
5 - 3
TAZ
22%
20%
58%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
JK Järve II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
KJK
1 - 2
AJA
5%
10%
85%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
VOR
7 - 0
KJK
89%
8%
3%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
KJK
0 - 8
FLO
7%
15%
78%
|
16 | 61 | 45 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
KJK
0 - 4
NAR
5%
11%
84%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
KJK
2 - 5
MER
6%
11%
82%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | -1 |