Ararat vs Tartu Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FCH
8 - 0
FCA
29%
20%
51%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 3
TIN
9%
14%
77%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
LAA
5 - 1
FCA
9%
12%
79%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
RAK
6 - 1
FCA
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
FCA
0 - 4
MAA
6%
13%
81%
|
24 | 64 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
TKL
1 - 1
FHT
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VJK
3 - 1
TKL
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
TKL
3 - 3
TJK
8%
13%
79%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 7
TKL
36%
21%
44%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 1
TKL
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |