Arapongas vs Iraty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CIA
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
ATP
12%
19%
68%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
CIA
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 5
TCW
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 2
IRA
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
2 - 2
IRA
49%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |