Araks Ararat vs Erebuni FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araks Ararat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
KIL
1 - 0
ARA
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
ARA
2 - 0
PYE
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
ARA
3 - 2
ZAA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
DVI
0 - 3
ARA
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
ARA
2 - 0
ARA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Erebuni FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1999 |
ERE
1 - 2
SHI
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ARA
5 - 2
ERE
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
KIL
2 - 0
ERE
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ERE
0 - 0
PYE
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
DVI
1 - 3
ERE
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |