Arahal vs Utrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARH
40%
27%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ARH
1 - 2
ASJ
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PEN
3 - 0
ARH
53%
24%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ARH
1 - 0
MSQ
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BET
1 - 0
ARH
37%
27%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
UTR
2 - 0
LAV
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
1 - 0
UTR
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
UTR
1 - 1
SOL
80%
14%
6%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAS
0 - 1
UTR
23%
24%
53%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
UTR
4 - 1
UDM
77%
15%
7%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |