Aragvi Dusheti vs SFC Shturmi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
7º
45
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 0
ADU
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 0
DIN
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
ADU
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 0
WIT
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
ADU
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SFC Shturmi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SFC
4 - 2
DIN
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
WIT
1 - 0
SFC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
SPA
30%
26%
45%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
GAR
5 - 1
SFC
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
LOK
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |