Araguaína vs Tocantis Miracema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ARA
2 - 1
SAO
71%
16%
13%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
KEC
1 - 0
ARA
10%
23%
67%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 0
ARA
4%
20%
77%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ARA
5 - 1
KEC
81%
11%
8%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TMI
1 - 2
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
TMI
3 - 3
TOC
44%
24%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
0 - 0
TMI
30%
24%
46%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
TOC
0 - 1
TMI
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
TMI
2 - 0
TOC
70%
16%
14%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
TMI
1 - 2
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |