Araguaína vs Tocantis Miracema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
TOC
1 - 3
ARA
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
CEC
0 - 2
ARA
48%
23%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ARA
0 - 0
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ARA
2 - 1
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 1
ARA
27%
24%
50%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantis Miracema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
TMI
4 - 1
MEC
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 1
TMI
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
TMI
1 - 2
GUR
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
TOC
1 - 0
TMI
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
TMI
1 - 1
AAA
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |