Araguaína vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
TOC
3 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
TOC
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 2
ARA
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
1 - 1
CEC
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
1 - 0
TOC
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
TOC
0 - 1
SDS
34%
22%
45%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
SDS
3 - 1
TOC
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
TOC
2 - 1
TOC
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |